Introduction

Synth API offers programmatic access to probabilistic price forecasts for Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies powered by a decentralized network of machine learning models. The API equips traders, developers, and institutions with predictive intelligence to gain a competitive edge, identify opportunities, and make informed decisions in dynamic markets.

Synth API Features

Probabilistic Forecasts, Not Point Predictions

Unlike traditional forecasting APIs that return a single price prediction, Synth delivers ensemble predictions consisting of 1,000 simulated price paths. This probabilistic approach provides:

• Full probability distributions - Understand the complete range of possible outcomes

• Confidence intervals - Quantify uncertainty in your predictions

• Risk-adjusted insights - Make decisions based on probability, not guesses

• Realistic market dynamics - Captures volatility clustering, fat tails, and mean reversion

Powered by The World's Highest Paying Data Science Competiton

Synth runs on a Bittensor Subnet 50, where 200+ machine learning models compete to generate the most accurate forecasts:

• Continuous competition - Data scientists are scored using CRPS (Continuous Ranked Probability Score)

• Quality over quantity - Only top-performing data scientists contribute to API responses

• No single point of failure - Decentralized architecture ensures reliability

• Transparent performance - All data scientists scores are publicly auditable

Battle-Tested Accuracy

All predictions are evaluated against actual outcomes using industry-standard metrics:

• CRPS scoring - Measures both calibration and sharpness of probabilistic forecasts

• Real-time validation - Data scientists are continuously scored against benchmark volatility metrics such as Garch and GBM

• Leaderboard transparency - Track top performers and their accuracy over time

Comprehensive Multi-Asset Coverage

The API consolidates predictions across multiple asset classes, allowing you to track opportunities across different markets through a single integration:

• Cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL

• Commodities: Gold (XAU), Silver (coming soon)

• Stocks: S&P 500, NVIDIA with Tesla, Apple, Google (coming soon) via xStocks

Advanced Analytics & Insights

Beyond raw predictions, Synth transforms probabilistic forecasts into actionable intelligence:

Volatility Analysis

• Forward-looking volatility metrics (1h, 6h, 24h, annualized)

• Historical volatility percentiles for context

• Volatility regime classification (low, moderate, high, extreme)

Options Pricing

• Theoretical call and put prices derived from ensemble forecasts

• Implied volatility calculations

• Multi-strike options across different expiries

Risk Management

• Liquidation probability analysis for leveraged positions

• Portfolio VaR (Value at Risk) calculations

• Tail risk assessments

DeFi Optimization

• Optimal liquidity provider (LP) ranges for Uniswap V3

• Impermanent loss estimates

• Fee capture vs. IL risk trade-offs

Market Intelligence

• Comparison with Polymarket prediction markets

• Cross-market arbitrage opportunities

Use Cases

Quantitative Trading

Build sophisticated trading strategies using probability distributions:

• Directional signals - Trade when probability > threshold

• Position sizing - Use Kelly Criterion with probabilistic forecasts

• Risk management - Set stop-losses at confidence intervals

Options Trading

Price and trade options with theoretical fair values:

• Find mispriced options - Compare Synth prices vs. market

• Construct spreads - Optimize bull/bear spreads

• Hedge portfolios - Calculate optimal hedge ratios

Risk Management

Monitor and manage portfolio risk in real-time:

• Liquidation monitoring - Track leveraged position risk

• Portfolio VaR - Calculate value-at-risk across assets

• Tail risk - Understand extreme outcome probabilities

AI & Automation

Integrate with AI agents and trading bots:

• LLM integration - Connect to Claude, GPT-4, or other AI models

• Autonomous trading - Build AI-powered trading systems

• Natural language analysis - Generate market commentary

DeFi Strategies

Optimize yield farming and liquidity provision:

• LP range optimization - Set optimal Uniswap V3 ranges

• Impermanent loss forecasting - Estimate IL before providing liquidity

• Yield comparison - Compare expected returns across pools

API Structure

Base URL

https://api.synthdata.co

Authentication

All requests require an API key in the header:

Authorization: Apikey YOUR_API_KEY

Main Endpoint Categories

Predictions - Core probabilistic forecasts

• /v2/prediction/latest - Get latest ensemble predictions

• /v2/prediction/historical - Historical predictions for backtesting

• /v2/prediction/best - Top miner only

Insights - Advanced analytics (Professional/Enterprise plans)

• /insights/volatility - Volatility metrics

• /insights/option-pricing - Options prices

• /insights/liquidation - Liquidation probabilities

• /insights/lp-bounds - LP range optimization

• And more...

Support & Community

• Documentation: You're reading it

• Discord: Join our community

• GitHub: mode-network/synth-subnet

• Email: [email protected]